{"id":44870,"date":"2026-04-09T03:03:05","date_gmt":"2026-04-09T07:03:05","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/blog.ckms.ca\/?p=44870"},"modified":"2026-04-09T03:06:13","modified_gmt":"2026-04-09T07:06:13","slug":"some-thoughts-on-the-usa-war-on-iran","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/blog.ckms.ca\/?p=44870","title":{"rendered":"some thoughts on the usa war on iran…"},"content":{"rendered":"\n

i typed this:<\/p>\n\n\n\n <--- click here to see my rambling thoughts here<\/span>

tfg withdrawing from nato would be a very obvious signal to putin and other powers in europe and asia (looking at you putin and xi) doing moe land grabs in eastern eurpe, does germany get the tinglies, and china takes taiwan? just a huge gift to the enimies of western democracies. complete elimination of the reative calm since end of ww2, and thought about and planned and executed and maintine for ~75 years.
fucker completely misrepreesnt nato’s assistance on 9\/11, tries to shamenato for not joing his war on iran (possibly eiilage on usa eterms and war crimes boe done and promised threatened), a comlete disaster in every possible way.
ois he that fucking stupid to not noknow that iran would be a lot harder than venz? no one told him? or is that far gone that he can’t be convinced?

the usa certainly wonthe war against iran. but they lost the worl in the process. how does the usa come back from the potus threatening genocide openly and unrepenmetly.<\/div>\n\n\n\n

<\/p>\n\n\n\n

i asked gemini+ to make sense of it. read it here<\/a>,<\/p>\n\n\n\n

or <--- click to see the complete response<\/span>

hi! tfg withdrawing from nato would be a very obvious signal to putin and other powers in europe and asia (looking at you putin and xi) doing moe land grabs in eastern eurpe, does germany get the tinglies, and china takes taiwan? just a huge gift to the enimies of western democracies. complete elimination of the reative calm since end of ww2, and thought about and planned and executed and maintine for ~75 years.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

fucker completely misrepreesnt nato’s assistance on 9\/11, tries to shamenato for not joing his war on iran (possibly eiilage on usa eterms and war crimes boe done and promised threatened), a comlete disaster in every possible way.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

ois he that fucking stupid to not noknow that iran would be a lot harder than venz? no one told him? or is that far gone that he can’t be convinced?<\/p>\n\n\n\n

the usa certainly wonthe war against iran. but they lost the worl in the process. how does the usa come back from the potus threatening genocide openly and unrepenmetly.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Gemini said<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

The Geopolitical Fallout of Ditching NATO<\/strong> You are absolutely right. Pulling out of NATO doesn’t just give Germany the “tinglies”\u2014it destroys the entire security architecture that has held the post-WWII order together. It tells Putin that Eastern Europe is up for grabs and signals to Xi Jinping that the US won’t step in over Taiwan. It is a massive, unforced gift to authoritarian regimes.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The 9\/11 Lie<\/strong> His claim that NATO “wasn’t there when we needed them” is a blatant lie. The only time in history NATO has ever invoked Article 5 for collective defense was on September 12, 2001, specifically to support the US. European allies bled in Afghanistan to back that up.<\/sup><\/p>\n\n\n\n

The Venezuela Delusion<\/strong> Is he completely oblivious to the fact that Iran is harder than Venezuela? Yes. After the US military captured Nicol\u00e1s Maduro in January 2026, he touted that quick operation as “perfect.”<\/sup> He convinced himself that bombing Iran would yield the same instant regime change. He ignored the reality that Iran is a heavily armed nation of 90 million people with decades of expertise in asymmetric warfare.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Reality Check: The US Has Not Won<\/strong> To correct one critical assumption: the US has not won the war. It is currently dragging into its sixth week.<\/sup> Trump expected Iran to roll over; instead, they shut down the Strait of Hormuz, effectively holding 20% of the world’s oil hostage and throwing the global economy into chaos.<\/sup>+1<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Yesterday (April 8), he actually blinked. He backed down from his apocalyptic threats and agreed to a 14-day ceasefire.<\/sup> He is claiming victory to save face, but none of his core objectives\u2014regime change, annihilating their nuclear program, or destroying their military\u2014have been achieved.<\/sup>+1<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The Fallout of Genocidal Threats<\/strong> How does the US recover from a POTUS threatening to wipe out a “whole civilization” and openly promising to destroy civilian power plants and bridges? It doesn’t, not for a very long time.<\/p>\n\n\n\n