{"id":42307,"date":"2025-09-25T04:19:06","date_gmt":"2025-09-25T08:19:06","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/ckms.ca\/?p=42307"},"modified":"2025-09-25T04:59:48","modified_gmt":"2025-09-25T08:59:48","slug":"on-soybeans-china-tariffs-and-the-upcoming-disaster-or-not","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/blog.ckms.ca\/?p=42307","title":{"rendered":"on soybeans, china, tariffs, and the upcoming disaster (or not?)"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>so i see the occassional omg news that the usa soybean industry is about to crash bad, due to china not buying any to date this <s>season<\/s> market year; but not hearing much in the mainstream, just in the nutjob places, or from the nutjobsd in the normie places. <br><br>so i had a <a rel=\"noreferrer noopener\" href=\"https:\/\/g.co\/gemini\/share\/9e7bf81efb32\" target=\"_blank\">chat with Gemini+&#8230;<\/a> which i found <a href=\"https:\/\/blog.ckms.ca\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/09\/reaction-star-trek-spock-fascinating.gif\">fascinating<\/a>! <span class=\"collapseomatic \" id=\"id69d5faec50919\"  tabindex=\"0\" title=\"fascinating!\"    >fascinating!<\/span><div id=\"target-id69d5faec50919\" class=\"collapseomatic_content \"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"150\" height=\"113\" class=\"wp-image-42309\" style=\"width: 150px;\" src=\"https:\/\/blog.ckms.ca\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/09\/reaction-star-trek-spock-fascinating.gif\" alt=\"\"><\/div>  [note: trying both a link to the spock .gif and using the expand in-line code; the link to works nice with <a rel=\"noreferrer noopener\" href=\"https:\/\/blog.ckms.ca\/?p=26859\" data-type=\"post\" data-id=\"26859\" target=\"_blank\">hoverzoom<\/a>, and the expand shortcode does hide it but is ugly in how it breaks formatting]<br><br>tl;dr: there&#8217;s gonna be a lot of soybeans on th emarket if china doesn&#8217;t buy from usa as it usually does.  no panic for china,since brazil looks to be able to supply them, and argentina is stepping in with a drop in export tariffs.  making lots of news in the narrow soybean &amp; ag news, but really not breaking thru in the msm <span class=\"collapseomatic \" id=\"id69d5faec5098b\"  tabindex=\"0\" title=\"\"    ><\/span><div id=\"target-id69d5faec5098b\" class=\"collapseomatic_content \">i feel dirty saying msm&#8230;<\/div>; as i poiint out towards the end of the chat, the state of tik-tok is getting more press.<br><br>so is this the beginning of some very bad economic news in the near future?  is this really due to tfg&#8217;s stupid tariff stance?  are there other markets similarly poised for similar reasons?<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>some links i mention in the chat:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/economictimes.indiatimes.com\/topic\/soybean\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">https:\/\/economictimes.indiatimes.com\/topic\/soybean<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.investing.com\/commodities\/us-soybeans-streaming-chart\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">https:\/\/www.investing.com\/commodities\/us-soybeans-streaming-chart<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/tradingeconomics.com\/commodity\/soybeans\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">https:\/\/tradingeconomics.com\/commodity\/soybeans<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><br><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><br><br><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>so i see the occassional omg news that the usa soybean industry&#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[282],"tags":[150,18,2157,2008,1102,57],"class_list":["post-42307","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-article","tag-china","tag-economics","tag-soybeans","tag-tariffs","tag-tfg","tag-usa","wpcat-282-id"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/blog.ckms.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/42307","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/blog.ckms.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/blog.ckms.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blog.ckms.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blog.ckms.ca\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=42307"}],"version-history":[{"count":11,"href":"https:\/\/blog.ckms.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/42307\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":42324,"href":"https:\/\/blog.ckms.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/42307\/revisions\/42324"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/blog.ckms.ca\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=42307"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blog.ckms.ca\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=42307"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blog.ckms.ca\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=42307"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}