{"id":17531,"date":"2022-02-09T01:14:51","date_gmt":"2022-02-09T06:14:51","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/ckms.ca\/?p=17531"},"modified":"2022-02-09T01:15:34","modified_gmt":"2022-02-09T06:15:34","slug":"endemicity-is-meaningless","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/blog.ckms.ca\/?p=17531","title":{"rendered":"Endemicity Is Meaningless"},"content":{"rendered":"

The coronavirus will be with us forever. But we still have no idea what happens next.<\/p>\n

Source: Endemicity Is Meaningless<\/a><\/em><\/p>\n

\n

Not a cheery read. Imagine the trucker honklers if we get a big spike in fall\/winter 2022.<\/p>\n

“Endemicity neither ensures a permanent d\u00e9tente nor promises a return \u201cto 2019,\u201d Abraar Karan, an infectious-disease physician and global-health expert at Stanford, told us. Its only true dictate\u2014and even this one\u2019s shaky, depending on whom you ask\u2014is a modicum of predictability in the average number of people who catch and pass on a pathogen over a set period of time.”<\/p>\n

“Flu is one of many examples that show why endemic<\/em>\u00a0can\u2019t be thought of as the inverse of\u00a0pandemic<\/em>; the two terms are not opposite ends of a spectrum.\u00a0Endemic<\/em> doesn\u2019t mean the virus is \u201csuddenly not going to hurt us,\u201d Murray said.”<\/p>\n

“Using the term\u00a0endemic\u00a0<\/em>imposes a false sense of certainty on a fundamentally uncertain situation. \u201cEverybody wants it to be simplified, but there is so much that we don\u2019t understand yet,\u201d Lakdawala told us. \u201cWe\u2019re trying to cram it all into one word, and one word doesn\u2019t cut it.\u201d”<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

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